Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.410657 3.992689 4.661962 5.492553 6.501282 7.693706 9.220402
2025-01-19 2.486878 3.197114 4.109561 5.384347 7.145908 9.534038 13.085693
2025-01-26 2.165678 2.965533 4.074020 5.757400 8.312069 12.150204 18.565177
2025-02-02 1.911644 2.750018 3.983599 5.987481 9.273400 14.659675 24.630489
2025-02-09 1.733542 2.600978 3.944865 6.260754 10.330613 17.555431 32.278854
2025-02-16 1.556839 2.419452 3.815207 6.345170 11.067592 20.066075 40.083724
2025-02-23 1.419373 2.276581 3.719170 6.458064 11.865817 22.886315 49.582126
2025-03-02 1.278294 2.105925 3.546221 6.392444 12.295487 25.067458 58.504163
2025-03-09 1.185512 2.005055 3.479257 6.511262 13.120477 28.328046 71.527241
2025-03-16 1.082998 1.873034 3.334927 6.447218 13.533240 30.754015 83.434052
2025-03-23 0.999327 1.765134 3.220723 6.423736 14.030299 33.536174 97.809950
2025-03-30 0.915350 1.646817 3.070221 6.295340 14.248527 35.660480 111.231681
2025-04-06 0.852674 1.572927 3.020326 6.434935 15.310779 40.916286 140.773631
2025-04-13 0.770160 1.451820 2.860551 6.304099 15.685405 44.499635 167.818712
2025-04-20 0.744394 1.441805 2.934793 6.753137 17.805779 54.673765 233.675450
2025-04-27 0.707865 1.403778 2.940258 7.030520 19.534212 64.528183 310.806415
2025-05-04 0.677919 1.375593 2.963179 7.360421 21.559197 76.779495 419.958750
2025-05-11 0.637365 1.318416 2.908124 7.462424 22.880085 87.081691 534.914567
2025-05-18 0.602735 1.270296 2.867714 7.598906 24.388837 99.332430 689.417834
2025-05-25 0.561006 1.200623 2.762846 7.519566 25.083100 108.278113 837.207169
2025-06-01 0.533545 1.161620 2.731381 7.663247 26.720399 123.462985 1087.359699
2025-06-08 0.499235 1.102106 2.637289 7.585791 27.439799 134.271904 1324.389144
2025-06-15 0.470090 1.052183 2.562364 7.557398 28.378042 147.348113 1639.700928